It has been by all metrics a highly disappointing season for Liverpool. More accustomed to challenging atop the English Premier League table, they’ve been floundering around the middle of the table all season long. They’re quickly running out of time if they’re looking to make their move into European Cup play and that makes this tilt against fellow midpackers West Bromwich Albion a veritable ‘must win’ situation. West Brom is in 8th place, just two points back of Liverpool.
The current form of these teams is drastically different, however, and particularly as it relates to their home/away split. Liverpool has finally been playing up to their potential of late–they’ve had trouble holding onto leads playing on the road and have settled for 1 point when they had a good chance to take all three. At home, however, they’ve been red hot. They’ve now won five of their last six contests on their home pitch at Anfield. Even more impressively, they’ve kept a clean sheet in all five of the victories. Even factoring in a discordant 3-1 home loss to Aston Villa they’ve outscored their last six home opponents by a combined margin of 17-3.
West Brom, on the other hand, has been downright awful on the road. Year to date they’ve got 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in Premiership play and their most recent form has been even worse–in fact, it’s been downright putrid. West Brom has lost five of their last six road games with the only victory being a narrow 2-1 verdict at lowly Queens Park Rangers. Sure, they’ve had games against Manchester United and Arsenal in that stretch but more problematic are losses to bottom feeders like Reading. They’ve been relatively decent on the attack, but the problem is that they’re giving up too many goals and playing poorly in the midfield.
So we’ll bet this one accordingly. We’ll bet Liverpool to win and a couple of other goal scoring bets that are mindful of West Brom’s recent ability to put the ball in the net even in losing causes. Liverpool on the goal line handicap is also worth a look as they should make mincemeat out of a lax West Brom backline.
Bet Liverpool -275 over West Brom
Bet Liverpool/West Brom Over 2.5 Goals -167
Bet Both Teams To Score -120